In the recent “ 2017 Global Conference on science and technology, future travel has become one of the topics of concern for the conference. With the development of artificial intelligence in recent years, driverless technology has gradually entered people's eyes. How about the development of driverless technology today? How will people change their way of travel? With the increasing awareness of environmental protection, the current application situation of new energy vehicles? Where is the problem of promotion? For the development of unmanned and new energy vehicles, the industry believes that the two techniques have some pain points, need to further technology development and facilities, the future will subvert the way people travel and the concept of
Travel in the future science and Technology Forum, AI media consulting group CEO Zhang Yi, vice president Gu Junli, Xiaopeng car dream fund & innovation Valley founder Zhu Bo, Zheng Chengjun, vice president for rent car rental car as vice president and other guests for Teng Yue “ found that mobile travel development trend for ten years under a &rdquo are discussed.
The Nanfang Daily reporter Intern Peng Lin Liang Siming /
How to change the mode of travel?
Gu Junli: more than 100 years ago, people still rely on the carriage and cart to solve travel problems, until the last century, Ford produced the first generation car, the way people travel have changed significantly. Cars have been developing all the time for the next century. Today, the Internet makes cars from fuel to electric, and I hope that in the future will be able to realize the revolution of automation, let the car become digital, intelligent. In Silicon Valley, driverless is the most popular application of artificial intelligence, in the past two years, there are about 100 start-up companies want to achieve driverless. I think the future of the car is a mobile robot that can drive vehicles to all corners of the world.
Zhu Bo: I think, intelligent travel is a huge rigid demand, there are also many companies in the study of driverless technology. In big cities, traffic jams will waste people a lot of time, driverless future will subvert people's way of life, at the same time, the road construction, urban management has a huge impact. As early as the late 80s of the last century, artificial intelligence generated a wave, but soon extinguished, because at that time the computer ability did not meet the requirements, artificial intelligence can only be utopian ideal. With the 1997 computer in the chess beat human beings, by 2015, the emergence of Alfa dog, it is not difficult to find the world is undergoing major changes. The future of artificial intelligence will be like hydropower, everywhere, it's not an industry, but a component.
Zhang Yi: I expect the split lease will have explosive growth in the next three years. In Australia, for example, there is no way to travel high-speed rail, the price of tourists travel by taxi is also expensive. In contrast, the travel mode of timeshare lease is lower and more convenient, and the potential of timeshare leasing is great. At present, many other countries and regions taxi costs are higher, such as in Japan from the International Airport to the urban area, taxi to spend 700-1000 yuan, timeshare rental demand is more common.
Zheng Chengjun: outbound driving is becoming a popular travel choice for people. According to the data of the National Tourism Administration, the number of outbound travel of Chinese citizens has reached 122 million in 2016. The percentage of outbound driving in China was close to 0% in 2013, and by 2016 it had risen to 3.34%. Although the proportion is still not much, but in recent years, basically doubled growth. The proportion of outbound driving in the United States in 2016 is 46%, which means that nearly half of Americans will choose to rent a car when they go abroad, and the number in Japan is close to 40%. Compared with the United States, Japan and other countries, China's outbound self driving travel industry still has great potential.
How to look at the development of driverless technology?
Zhang Yi: in the short term, the scale of driverless car market changes little. Not long ago, Baidu's Robin Li through unmanned driving to the meeting, the result was punished by traffic police, which questioned a lot of voices. Unmanned driving is the most important legislation, the United States through legislation to realize driverless promotion is difficult, and in China, execution may be relatively strong.
Gu Junli: at present, auxiliary driving has been basically able to achieve product landing, help to improve people's lives. And automatic unmanned driving, is the use of specific scenarios, the restrictions will be relatively narrow. Today, some traditional car manufacturers have installed sensors on the car to make the car “ eye ” to increase the auxiliary warning link to help people drive.
Take the traditional face recognition or image recognition as an example, 90% accuracy has been able to go beyond the traditional algorithm, but car travel to meet the safety rules, which means that the accuracy of 99.999%. As of today, all the technology still can not solve the L4 (high automation), L5 (fully automated), all experts gathered by all the algorithms can not solve the problem of L5, this is the innovation process algorithm and artificial intelligence research. I hope you will give technology development space, technology evolution to a certain extent, there will be new products for your service.
What is the core of driverless technology?
Gu Junli: Although driverless is the product defined by the core technology driven by the algorithm, but in essence, this is a practical science. Driverless is the most challenging application of artificial intelligence, and ultimately must be able to complete the ground, growing unmanned deployment plan. Among them, "landing" refers to the real car out of the laboratory, the actual use, can grow is to re define the feedback collection problem, on this basis to re innovation, this is a cycle of iterative process. Internet car is a completely digital product, if it is a traditional mechanical car, repair to 4S shop, the Internet car can carry out software upgrades in the air. If you can do this on a car, that's the key way of fast iteration.
To develop driverless technology, we should seize the following key elements. The first point is data, in the real world of physics, any scientist does not have a model, and the real data to be moved into the cloud through sensors, which is the cornerstone of the evolution of algorithms. The second point is the AI algorithm, which is the core of the development, through artificial intelligence upgrade, in order to achieve intelligent. Finally, even though the algorithm is so powerful that it can't be used in a vehicle, it's an embedded environment that requires a very luxurious computing capability like the cloud. At present, the pain point of driverless technology is also around the three factors, need to further improve.
How about the development of new energy vehicles?
Teng Yue: at present, the sales of new energy vehicles mainly face two customers in the city limits is targeted mainly at the user; not the city, most are sold to B (business), rarely end to C end (user). New energy vehicles have not yet been fully extended to the public, mainly because of high prices, short mileage, charging difficulties, inadequate infrastructure and other issues. New energy vehicles have so many pain points, if enterprises want to let users pay, in a short period of time is impossible, enterprises need to continue to combine upstream and downstream facilities to jointly promote.
Zheng Chengjun: at present, the car driving out of the country or mainly to fuel vehicles, new energy vehicles lease less. However, in Switzerland, there is a new energy vehicle self drive line, every distance will be set up charging pile, pure electric vehicles on this line is no problem. Now more and more countries are improving the construction of charging pile, but also vigorously promote the development of electric vehicles and driverless technology.
Zhang Yi: the future 3— within 5 years, the growth rate of new energy vehicles will be very fast, about 30%-40% increase. Recently, the Ministry of information on the planning of new energy vehicles is very reasonable. How to reduce the automobile industry in China and other countries the gap between the open track is a chance. In the future, new energy vehicles will change a lot.
How does intelligent travel affect environmental protection?
Zheng Chengjun: in the overseas car rental, we are currently in some countries with the Tourism Bureau, environmental protection departments to establish cooperation projects, in order to promote more Chinese users choose clean energy vehicles. Car rental platforms can help consumers use clean energy vehicles through discounts or rules, and make a contribution to environmental protection.
Zhu Bo: in the short term, to promote intelligent travel to rebuild the road, need to pay a certain price, but today's investment is worth it. In the long run, in the future 10— 20 years, intelligent travel has a protective effect on the environment. Automatic driving technology can make the road more smooth, reduce power consumption and other resource losses, the environment is good. I am very optimistic about intelligent travel, new energy vehicles, driverless, vehicle sharing, will bring great improvement to the future environmental optimization.
